Bush projected to win the second largest landslide in presidential history?
May 07, 2004
Posted by jkhat at May 7, 2004 08:16 PM
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In a Yale University economic election prediction model, George W. Bush is projected to win 60.42% of the two-party popular vote. ( Thanks to Ace of Spades for the pointer. )
"If both of these quarters are counted as good news quarters, the vote prediction rises from 58.74 percent to 60.42 percent, since each good news quarter contributes 0.837 percentage points to the vote prediction."
I know that this projection only includes the "two-party" vote, but 60% is huge. Richard Nixon is credited with winning the highest percentage of the popular vote in American presidential history when he took 60.7% of the vote in 1972. ( some critics have pointed out, "but he cheated!" fair point. :-)
Posted by jkhat at May 7, 2004 08:16 PM
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