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    • Electoral College Prediction-Pre-October Surprise Edition

       September 24, 2004

    With the conventions over, now seems like a good time to revisit my electoral college predictions (past prediction are here and here).

    I think this is the most optimistic I've been or will be. It's hard to imagine that the Kerry campaign will get worse (is that even possible?), so I think this is his realistic bottom number. The only other state I think is even a possibility for Bush is Minnesota. But, c'mon, it's Minnesota. You just know they'll vote for a loser. After all, they grew up with the Vikings as an example. ;-)


    Posted by kris at September 24, 2004 01:13 PM

        The trackback entry for this page is : http://www.inthehat.com/mt/mt-tb.cgi/420

     

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    Comments

    #  March 7th, 2005 6:48 PM      Converted_Comment
    Converted comment: Posted by: Drew at September 24, 2004 01:16 PM

    Good point. They did for Fritz in 84.

     
     
    #  March 7th, 2005 6:48 PM      Converted_Comment
    Converted comment: Posted by: james at September 24, 2004 02:41 PM


    oregon: strong possibilty http://www.dalythoughts.com/or/or.htm
    NH: strong possibility http://www.dalythoughts.com/nh/nh.htm
    PA: strong possibility http://www.dalythoughts.com/pa/pa.htm
    ME: strong possibility http://www.dalythoughts.com/me/me.htm

    also, have you seen NJ lately?

     
     
    #  March 7th, 2005 6:48 PM      Converted_Comment
    Converted comment: Posted by: Aaron at September 25, 2004 06:55 PM

    New Hampshire has been looking better for the President of late, but the rest of it I agree with.

     
     

     

     

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