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  • Final Electoral College Prediction

       October 31, 2004

    Happy Halloween! I think most people above the age of 12 celebrated the holiday last night, so the most frightening thing on the horizon is the possibility of a John Kerry victory Tuesday. But, I don't think that'll happen. Below is my final Electoral College predictions. Throughout the summer and fall, I haven't made too many changes to this. For this final one, I predict Minnesota swings to the Dems, while Ohio, Wisconsin and Iowa go for Bush. The big change is Hawaii. I think that Cheney's visit this weekend will swing the state to Bush.

    Hopefully the margin of victory will be big enough that we don't have to go through months of lawsuits and complaints and the Bush Administration can get back to the business of governing and Kerry can get back to skiing in Vail or Switzerland or wherever.

    I'd love to hear other predictions. How about putting your final electoral college counts in the comments?

    Update: I made a mistake on the map. I meant Arizona to be in the red. Therefore, my final electoral count is actually President Bush: 300 and Senator Kerry: 238.


    Posted by kris at October 31, 2004 01:30 PM

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    Comments

    #  March 7th, 2005 6:48 PM      Converted_Comment
    Converted comment: Posted by: Kilabe at October 31, 2004 04:18 PM

    Here are mine that I posted on my site earlier in the week:

    George W. Bush with:

    49.5% to Kerry’s 48.2% of popular vote

    296 to 242 Electorial votes

    A couple of small law suits challenging some returns, but not anything to sway the election

    Terry McAuliffe gets his walking papers

    Most Democrats including Kerry and Edwards concede somewhat gracefully

    uber-left trot out conspiracy theories, much groaning and gnashing of teeth

    Hollywood and musical left idiots say stupid shit, face backlash, cry about 1st amendment rights

    America rolls on

    Terrorists wet pants

    US, Brit, Aussie, and other coalition soldiers keep hunting

    Gore gains another 40 pounds, head explodes.

    Chirac says merde

    Iran, North Korea, Syria, Sudan say please don’t hit me anymore

    Therahhhsa says, ‘I vant a divorce loser.’

     
     
    #  March 7th, 2005 6:48 PM      Converted_Comment
    Converted comment: Posted by: at October 31, 2004 06:14 PM

    I've been following http://www.electoral-vote.com/ for a while, its as wavy as anything though.

     
     
    #  March 7th, 2005 6:48 PM      Converted_Comment
    Converted comment: Posted by: 02hawk796 at November 1, 2004 10:03 AM

    Back in Aug, I think I said 310. I'll stick with that.

    Perhaps also peruse the other comments I posted under the "October Surprise" item.

     
     
    #  March 7th, 2005 6:48 PM      Converted_Comment
    Converted comment: Posted by: Troll at November 1, 2004 08:27 PM

    Bush 285
    Kerry 253

     
     

     

     


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