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    • Quick Picks - NFL Conference Championship Games

       January 18, 2008

    My NFL picks seem to do much better than either my horse racing or college football picks. Let's see if I can keep it rolling.

    San Diego at New England: I can't imagine why anyone would wager on this game. No one knows what's going on with L.T. and Rivers. I don't think the Chargers have a chance, but I can't imagine picking this game against the spread, you know? So yeah, New England wins as part of their inevitable march to another Lombardi Trophy. Ho hum. The pick: New England.

    New York at Green Bay: The forecast keeps getting revised down. It's going to be miserable. Just the way we like it! The Giants are going to have to rush Favre constantly because their secondary is so depleted. Of course, the natural enemy of the pass rush is the screen play, which is, unfortunately, something the Packers aren't very good at. Brett will have to rely on Ryan Grant and short passes to make it through the game. It's going to be up to the receivers to make big plays. I think they will. The pick: Green Bay.

    Oh my god...


    Posted by kris at January 18, 2008 07:28 AM

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    Comments

    #  January 18th, 2008 8:16 AM      kris
    I forgot to mention how deluded people like Bill Simmons are. He was actually trying to say that the NFL would probably have rather had the New England game on in prime time because that would undoubtedly have been the higher rated game of the two. Is he serious? Yeah, a game between New York, the largest market, and Green Bay, one of the two national franchises in the league, in below zero weather, and in historic Lambeau Field doesn't have nearly the appeal. Uh huh. The only way the New England game would have higher ratings is if it looked like San Diego might beat them.  
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 9:22 AM      james
    from 2004 (link).

    “What are your two favorite National Football League teams?”

    given the 2004 numbers and previous trends, i wouldn't be surprised if NE was the most popular team in 2007.  
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 9:55 AM      kris
    ah yes, but the Packers and Giants are among the top four, so a game between TWO really popular games is more popular than a game with one really popular team.

    Isn't the NFC generally considered the better of the two conferences for ratings purposes because they have teams like the Giants, Bears, Cowboys & Packers?  
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 10:38 AM      james
    no doubt it will be a high rated game. both will be high rated games. i'm just saying that this Bill Simmons isn't delusional. the afc game may well have more viewers.  
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 10:43 AM      kris
    Yeah, I guess it's possible that I'm underestimating the Patriots popularlity since I'm in the middle of crazy Packerland.

     
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 11:34 AM      kris
    So - anyone care to bring some picks?

    My guesses for the scores are:

    Pats: 42
    Chargers: 10

    Packers: 24
    Giants: 6  
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 1:50 PM      cherlynda
    I think that the Patriots will beat the Chargers, although that's not what I want to happen. Score Pats 42 Chargers 7

    I think the Packers will beat the Giants but it will be a nail biter. Packers 17 Giants 10

    I am so excited for the game but if it starts out like it did last week I am not sure I can watch it.  
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 2:37 PM      james
    31 pats
    24 cha-guhs

    37 packers
    10 giants
     
     
    #  January 18th, 2008 9:02 PM      themandownthehall
    Pats 34 SD 13, maybe 20.

    Pack 24 Giants 14, maybe 17.

    going to be a heck of a super bowl.  
     
    #  January 20th, 2008 5:03 PM      themandownthehall
    So, was it just me or did everyone think that Brady had enough time to build a freaking house in that game. Good grief, everyone talks about how great Brady is (and he is), and how tough the receivers are, but that offensive line was incredible. Heck, Kitna could get to the super bowl with that much time. Brady better buy them all cars...

    Here's hoping for the Packers. My team can't be in it, I'll cheer my friends' team instead.

     
     
    #  January 20th, 2008 9:18 PM      themandownthehall
    Sorry everyone. I had hoped that Farve would pull it out, but it wasn't meant to be. I can't belive that Eli freaking Manning knocked off both Dallas and GB. New England better watch out.

    As for Green Bay, any objective look at Farves play this year shows that he had a lot of fun out there. A player like him plays until it isn't fun. He was enjoying himself a lot this season and I think he'll be back next year.

    Don't hold it against me if I cheer New England now. Not too often you get to see a 19-0 season. Would be neat and NE fans aren't nearly as annoying as say, Dallas fans.  
     
    #  January 20th, 2008 9:34 PM      themandownthehall
    Ok, so I can't spell Favre... Sorry.  
     

     

     

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