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  • Maybe it's okay if Obama wins

       October 15, 2008

    It looks like Obama is going to win the Presidency. Now sure, I disagree with him on almost everything, but maybe his victory isn't such a bad thing. Iowahawk's latest satire really does ring a little true:

    Think about it. With Barack Obama in office, assholes like us will fade into a distant unpleasant memory. Don't get us wrong, we'll still be hanging around, probably as junior staffers in some federal arts agency. But you have our word on it -- we'll be practically invisible. No more C-word t shirts, no more intersection blockades, no more vandalism until the next election cycle. Nosirree, we'll be timid and well-behaved and quiet as church mice, working away on grant proposals. We think you will also be pleased to know that under Obama, negative news stories and the steady flow of shitty anti-American war movies will virtually disappear overnight.

    Oh, how I would love this to be true. To never again see these righteous *holes spouting their slogans and hate is some real Hope!Change! I could get behind.

    Of course, the downside is that Obama will actually be President. And, he'll almost certainly be President with a Democrat majority in the House and the Senate. He could wreck some havoc.

    However, there's an upside. An Obama victory will force the GOP to examine itself and reassemble its big tent. Americans do love us some divided government, so it's likely the GOP would turn to history and try to repeat the success of the 1994 Republican Revolution in the 2010 mid-term elections. Perhaps they'd even seek to renew their Contract With America.

    Now that I think about it, perhaps this is the best solution. A GOP-led Congress could temper and/or block Obama's most socialist proposals while at the same time an Obama Presidency would let everyone feel good.

    Unfortunately, it's almost just as likely that the GOP will remember the rapture with which the Sarah Palin pick was received and instead swing even further to the social right: Prayer for everyone! Abortions for no one! Tiny American flags! I think this would just further marginalize the party and the political spectrum would begin to resemble that which we have here in Madison: Obama leading a lefty "Progressive Dane"-like party, the Dems representing a center-left position and the Right being virtually non-existent. Now that's actually scary.

    As much as the current Republican party annoys me, I think the post-2008 election is going to be an important time to get involved with it. It's going to take more Social Libs/Economic Conservatives to make sure the party takes the right (not just the Right) course.

    Posted by at October 15, 2008 10:45 AM

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    #  October 15th, 2008 1:38 PM      james
    back in October 2000, everyone was in solid agreement that gore would win in a landslide.

    back in October 2004, everyone was in solid agreement that kerry would win in a landslide.

    it is a mistake to think that obama has this thing won. at this point, i'd put his odds at less than 50%.

    not that it matters to me. i'm not voting for either.  
    #  October 15th, 2008 4:42 PM      kris
    I don't really remember 2000, to be honest, but I looked back at posts from October 2004 and I think that everyone thought that Bush was going to win a close election. Granted, the post I linked to is from 10/31, so it's possible that the election closed up significantly from the middle of the month to the end.

    I can tell you though, that McCain has clearly given up on Wisconsin. After weeks of constant advertising, I haven't seen a single McCain spot in the last week. Obama spots are also down. Wisconsin isn't a swing state, which is actually refreshing.

    One interesting note is that the passion around this election is nowhere near that in 2004. There are actually very few Obama yard signs around here. I don't think it's that people liked Kerry more than Obama, I think it's just that they think the election is a foregone conclusion, so they're not putting the effort in. I wonder if that lack of passion will result in a lower than expected turnout?  
    #  October 28th, 2008 2:17 AM      jackjack
    Obama, a black man running for president, only has a chance of winning because he is black. If he wins it is not because he inspired his base to vote for him. It won’t be because he was the voice of change. It will only be because of his skin color. If Obama wins it will not be because of his political savvy or agenda. It will solely because he is a black man running for president. He will get at least 95% of the black vote simply because he is “one of them.” He will also gain a large group of whites who feel guilty about slavery and will vote Obama to ease their conscience. If Obama wins it will be because we have overlooked the content of his character and judge him solely on the color of his skin.




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