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  • Bristol Palin as electoral harbinger

       August 31, 2010

    With Bristol Palin joining such "celebrities" as the Hoff, Jennifer Grey, The Situation and Kurt Warner on the upcoming season of Dancing With The Stars, it occurs to me that Palin's performance could be an easy way to predict the November elections.

    While I'm sure some people who watch DWTS base their votes on actual dancing talent, I suspect many more vote on simply which celebrities they like the most. Therefore, it's pretty easy to assume that the type of hardcore liberals who actually vote in mid-term elections won't be calling her number. Likewise, the Tea Party types who love Sarah Palin will probably vote for Bristol even if she has two left feet.

    "Dancing With The Stars" is one of the biggest mainstream hits on television. I suspect its audience over indexes on voting, particularly in non-Presidential years. If Bristol stays longer than her dancing warrants or gets voted off more quickly than she should, I think we can attribute that to political reasons that will likely carry over to the real voting booth. This probably sounds a little ridiculous, but I do feel like the DWTS audience is more representative of what Americans think than the writers of the New York Times or Glenn Beck.

    The only wrench in there is that it's possible that Bristol's personality will override the politics and people may vote for or against based on that. However, based on the 5 minutes she was on TV last night, it doesn't appear that she has a personality (or she was completely scared to death), so I think we're safe.

    Bristol doesn't need to win - clearly this is The Hoff's show to lose - but I don't think it's crazy to think that a strong performance by her might mean more seats in the House and Senate for the GOP.

    Posted by kris at August 31, 2010 08:56 AM

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