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  • Countdown to the Cup

       October 05, 2010

    (see all of our 2010 Breeders Cup articles)

    Exactly one month from today, I'll be immersed in the two-day horse racing extravaganza known as the Breeders Cup. With a slew of prep races both this weekend and last weekend, I'm getting a bad case of Breeders Cup fever!

    This year, the Cup will be run at historic Churchill Downs on regular 'ole dirt. Last year on Santa Anita's synthetic Pro-Ride surface, it took me 3 or 4 races to even figure out how to handicap on synthetics. This year, I don't have to worry about that challenge - just the regular challenge of evaluating horses from all over the world.

    My advice for handicapping the Breeders Cup is this:

    • Don't get caught up in the odds. A winner at 4-1 is still going to give you a nice payoff.
    • Respect California sprinters
    • When evaluating European runners, remember that French horses seemingly always outperform the other Euros in America.
    • In turf races, the only thing that matters is closing speed. No really - that's it. The horse with the fastest closing quarter or 3/8 of a mile should be your #1 pick.
    • Since the Cup is at Churchill, consider taking some Calvin Borel insurance.

    I plan on posting some more specific Breeders Cup articles later on this month. After this weekend, almost all of the major preps will be over and we'll have a better idea of who's running and where.

    It's funny, I think lots of political blogs are counting down to November 2nd (isn't it nice of them to make such a big deal out of my birthday?), but this "political" blog is all about Nov. 5-6. Frankly, the Breeders Cup is just way more fun than election day. Plus, Zenyatta is a hell of a lot cuter than Nancy Pelosi OR Christine O'Donnell.

    Posted by kris at October 5, 2010 10:48 AM

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